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Don't Snooze on Sundays?

Posted 2 months ago by Lemuria - 20 comments Link: http://phi.sh/b/5707e8ba

Among the many data elements on Phish.net, users' ratings of shows receive a disproportionate amount of critique. They are generic by design, suspected of some biases, and used differently by different users.* But despite their flaws, the ratings are still informative**.

We’ll start with an arcane issue: how show performance varies by day of the week. While some fans may love the Friday/Saturday blowout, many warn to “never miss a Sunday!”. Similarly the band’s “you snooze, you lose” mantra has emphasized that sparks happen in expected places on unexpected nights. An analysis of show ratings helps to consider each of these ideas, as well as to identify some interesting variations.

All at Once

First, let’s look at the ratings*** for all 1701 known shows. If we take the average rating for each show, and then average those averages by weekday, Sunday is indeed tops - with a mean average of 3.87 just edging out Friday (3.82) and Saturday (3.85). However, the averages alone don’t vary much, as the lowest (Monday, at 3.69) isn’t much lower. Meanwhile, variance (differences from the average within each group) do vary. So, let’s look at that...

Of those that have been rated, only a third have average ratings below 3.57, while a third have average ratings above 4.13. That’s stilted towards the high end, but still involves sufficient variation for comparisons. Or, treating the ratings as an indicator of performances, Phish shows are typically hot – but they’re not all equally so, and how hot they are varies, even across the week.

All SpokesThis stacked-petal polar chart**** uses red for the hottest third, and yellow for the bottom third. Each spoke within it illustrates how that day’s shows are distributed across these thirds. (Icons outside each spoke indicate how many shows happened that day and the average number of raters for each of them.)

If you lose by snoozing, it’s not on Monday: 41% of Monday shows are in the bottom third, while only 27% are in the top third – respectively, the highest and lowest proportions of any in the chart. Saturday seems least risky, with the smallest proportion at the bottom (28%); but Sunday more often had the highest payoffs, with the largest proportion (39%) in the top third. Of the rest, Friday fared best, while Tuesday and Wednesday were “merely” consistent, with about a third of each day’s shows in each third of all shows.

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Mystery Jam Monday Part 219

Posted 2 months ago by ucpete - 16 comments Link: http://phi.sh/b/570b01ef, posted in the Audio category (894 listens)

Welcome to the 219th edition of Phish.Net's Mystery Jam Monday. Like last week, I've posted three clips this week -- these three clips share something in common. To win, be the first person to identify the song and date of each of the three mystery jam clips, and answer what the three clips share in common. Each person gets one guess per day, with the second “day” starting after I post the hint -- each guess should contain three songs / dates, and a guess at the commonality. No sharing or trading of answers is allowed. A hint will be posted on Tuesday if necessary, with the answer to follow on Wednesday. The winner will receive an MP3 code good for a free download of any show, courtesy of our friends at LivePhish.com / Nugs.Net. Good luck!

Answer: Congrats to first-time winner @dbertsch who quickly identified this week's trifecta: 8/2/97 Down with Disease, 4/17/04 Halley's Comet, 8/15/15 Piper, and correctly noted that all three jams lead to segues -> Tweezer. I'm impressed that the guessing crew has taken down the new format twice in two weeks without too much fuss. We'll see if that changes next week, when MJM 220 drops at 4 PM PT / 7 PM ET to give the can't .net at work crew a better chance at glory. Thanks for playing!

LivePhish.com All-Time MJM Results

Phish's State-by-State Path to 1600

Posted 2 months ago by Lemuria - 14 comments Link: http://phi.sh/b/56fb7ab0

Sick of delegate counts on the proverbial road to 1600 Pennsylvania? Here’s some relief: a state-by-state analysis of the 1600* public Phish performances in the U.S.

The graphic below plots each state as a bubble, at the intersection of the first and last dates Phish played there. The larger the bubble, the more shows Phish has played in that state. (A legend is included in the lower left of the graphic.)

These bubbles appear in several distinct clumps: The large bubbles in the upper left are places Phish started and has performed the most. To the right of that, a group of varying sizes represent states first visited in the band’s early expansion, from 1989 to 1991, and still played recently. Finally, the sparse group of smaller bubbles in the lower middle-to-right represent sporadic stops from 1990-1995 that haven’t been visited in a number of years.

States Bubble chart

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Mystery Jam Monday Part 218

Posted 2 months ago by ucpete - 35 comments Link: http://phi.sh/b/57020d71, posted in the Audio category (1698 listens)

Welcome to the 218th edition of Phish.Net's Mystery Jam Monday, and the debut of a new era of the MJM. While Phish 3.0 officially started on 3/6/09, some might argue that the band didn't really hit its stride till five months later at the Gorge on 8/7/09. Likewise, while MJM 3.0 officially started on 11/9/15, maybe someday folks (all seven of you who tune in each week) will say that it took MJM 3.0 five months to hit its stride. Like always, the winner will receive an MP3 code good for a free download of any show, courtesy of our friends at LivePhish.com / Nugs.Net.

I've posted three clips this week -- these three clips share something in common. To win, be the first person to identify the song and date of each of the three mystery jam clips, and answer what the three clips share in common*. Each person gets one guess per day, with the second “day” starting after I post the hint -- each guess should contain three songs / dates, and a guess at the commonality. A hint will be posted on Tuesday if necessary, with the answer to follow on Wednesday.

*Yes, these three clips were all played by Phish. Yes, none of these clips were played in my kitchen. There is something very particular that I have in mind that these clips share in common, and only that commonality (along with the three songs and dates that share it) will be accepted as the correct answer.

Note: While I expect this to be harder than your typical MJM, I don't expect it to be three times as hard; if you figure out one of the clips, you'll want to look at where / when / how / why it was played / recorded / etc. to guide and narrow your search for the other two. We'll start out this week with a more straightforward puzzle, and as folks get the hang of it, we'll take you out into Type II MJMs and beyond. If this fails miserably, the MJM always reserves the right to revert to the classic format. Good luck and have fun!

Hint: The years these jams were played are like Span, Panik, and Posey yesterday -- well, more like Span, Posey, and Panik; the commonality is like the three most important aspects of real estate investment.

Answer: Congrats to six-time winner @WayIFeel who successfully identitied the 12/13/92 Bowie, the 4/6/94 Mike's Song, and the 8/9/93 Tweezer as all being played on Canadian soil. One more win puts him on the shelf as yet another MJM emeritus -- when he's gone, who will fill his shoes?

LivePhish.com All-Time MJM Results

Mystery Jam Monday Part 217

Posted 2 months ago by ucpete - 16 comments Link: http://phi.sh/b/56f2d693, posted in the Audio category (1089 listens)

Welcome to the 217th edition of Phish.Net's Mystery Jam Monday. The winner will receive an MP3 code good for a free download of any show, courtesy of our friends at LivePhish.com / Nugs.Net. To win, be the first person to identify the song and date of the mystery jam clip. Each person gets one guess per day, with the second “day” starting after I post the hint. A hint will be posted on Tuesday if necessary, with the answer to follow on Wednesday. Good luck!

Answer: By identifying the 9/30/00 Emotional Rescue, @highhat (a.k.a. @hai_hatto) wins his third MJM and takes home another download code. Be sure to tune in next week, when MJM 3.0 starts in earnest with a new, more challenging format.

LivePhish.com All-Time MJM Results

Mystery Jam Monday Part 216

Posted 2 months ago by ucpete - 13 comments Link: http://phi.sh/b/56ea011a, posted in the Audio category (1363 listens)

Welcome to the 216th edition of Phish.Net's Mystery Jam Monday. The winner will receive an MP3 code good for a free download of any show, courtesy of our friends at LivePhish.com / Nugs.Net. To win, be the first person to identify the song and date of the mystery jam clip. Each person gets one guess per day, with the second “day” starting after I post the hint. A hint will be posted on Tuesday if necessary, with the answer to follow on Wednesday. Good luck!

Answer: Congrate to five-time winner @WayIFeel for crushing this week's MJM in 16 minutes, identifying the 6/23/12 Simple, and taking home the code for a free show download. Enjoy these quick victories while they last, because there's a flurry of novel MJMs coming, and they won't be so -- *cough* -- Simple.

LivePhish.com All-Time MJM Results

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